Terry's Elections Guide and Predictions: Louisiana
LA-02 (Democratic-held)
William Jefferson (D) 42 - Everyone else 48
Louisiana has an interesting system without conventional primaries: everyone runs against each other on Election Day and if no one gets 50 percent of the vote, the top two have a runoff a month later. This leads to a lot of post-election campaigns where everyone from around the country goes down to Louisiana for some epic battle. I'm not sure if that will happen this year, but Bill Jefferson is way more corrupt than is acceptable for a party running on change (I mean, who hasn't hidden $90,000 in the freezer), and regardless of what he wants to do to help the New Orleans recovery, I don't think he's cracking 50. I still say he wins the runoff.