Terry's Elections Guide and Predictions: Montana
Senate (Republican-held)
Jon Tester (D) 51 - Conrad Burns (R) 48
This one is stressful for me personally. I've been a fan of Tester since early 2005 when I discovered he's a rancher and Montana Senate President who looks like a gym teacher, loves the blogs, and toured the state in a big rig with "You're behind the right guy" written on the back. He upset a better-funded, DC-supported opponent in the primary, and he took a big lead over corrupt and broadly offensive incumbent Senator Conrad Burns in the general election. Unfortunately, Burns has pretty much tied the race by pointing out that Tester wants nothing more in life than to raise the tax rate to 100 percent. If Tester loses, after all he's been through, I will be very, very disappointed.