Terry's Elections Guide and Predictions: New Mexico
NM-01 (Republican-held)
Patricia Madrid (D) 53 - Heather Wilson (R) 47
Heather Wilson is one of those Anne Northup types who votes ultraconservative while maintaining a demure public persona, and even though Democrats always contest her seat they never wind up winning. This time, as with Northup, I think things will be different. Wilson is a graduate of the Air Force Academy and was a Rhodes Scholar, yet still cried on the House floor because of that Janet Jackson Super Bowl performance. Patty Madrid is the current state attorney general who was an early supporter of John Edwards' 2004 presidential run, and she's taken a fair lead in most polls in the last two months. I'm feeling good about this longtime target.