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Terry's Elections Guide and Predictions: Vermont


Senate (Open, Independent-held)
Bernie Sanders (I) 59 - Richard Tarrant (R) 38
This is an odd race. First off, the Senate's only independent is going to be succeeded by another independent. Second, Richard Tarrant is the richest guy in the state and a former local college basketball star. Third, Sanders is about to become the Senate's only socialist. Finally, despite all of Tarrant's money, this one won't be close.

VT-AL (Open, Independent-held)
Peter Welch (D) 51 - Martha Rainville (R) 46
Apparently in exchange for Democrats not running a Senate candidate (though Sanders will caucus with Senate Democrats), independent Vermont progressives decided not to run against state Senate Democratic Leader Peter Welch, who from the lack of noise in this race is poised to beat star Republican recruit Martha Rainville, head of the state National Guard. Actually, both parties tried to convince Rainville to run, but she said she's a Republican so now she's going down with the ship. I still think this will be close.

Posted by Terry McMahon on November 7, 2006 2:16 AM |

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